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Friday, 4 September 2026

The Daily Trend

Today’s news, with the data and without the spin

Jackdaw Gas Field

Trending · Climate

Jackdaw Gas Field

Daily Record

7 articles across 5 outlets · news sources analysed by AI, figures counted from the coverage

Sentiment

Across all Trend monitored news outlets · 7 articles

What happened

The government is expected to approve the Jackdaw gas field in the North Sea off Aberdeen in the coming weeks, according to multiple reports. The Rosebank oil field may also receive approval around the same time. Environmental groups oppose the developments, citing climate targets. The decision sits with Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh and comes as the government weighs energy security against climate commitments.

Gas Dependency

How much of the UK's electricity comes from gas. Gas is the last major fossil fuel in the mix and the swing supplier that fills in when the wind drops. When its share rises the grid burns more fossil fuel and is more exposed to gas prices; when it falls, it is cleaner and more self-reliant.

LATEST · 202430.4%
AVERAGE36.5%
HIGH · 201642.3%
LOW · 201529.5%
30%35%40%45%201420162018202020222024
ConservativeLabourCoalition

Source: Department for Energy Security and Net Zero · Energy Trends / DUKES

Coverage: UK

How each side sees it

  • Left

    Summary

    The Daily Record and The Independent reported the Jackdaw gas field off Aberdeen was set for approval in coming weeks, with both outlets citing industry predictions and reports suggesting the Rosebank oil field could also receive approval.

    Sentiment

    Across left-leaning outlets · 2 articles

  • Centre

    Summary

    The BBC reported the government was set to give the go-ahead for the Jackdaw gas field off the Aberdeen coast, citing sources close to the decision.

    Sentiment

    Across centre outlets · 1 article

  • Right

    Summary

    The Evening Standard and Daily Mail covered the Jackdaw gas field approval. The Daily Mail detailed the Prime Minister and Energy Secretary's plans for approval in mid-September and included their stated aim to cut energy bills. The Evening Standard also carried a separate article on Heathrow expansion and aviation climate targets.

    Sentiment

    Across right-leaning outlets · 4 articles

Other News

The next most-covered stories, measured the same way. Each one sits on a board where the numbers behind it live.

  • UK-EU Relations

    Trending · Society

    UK-EU Relations

    5 articles across 4 outlets · news sources analysed by AI, figures counted from the coverage

    Sentiment

    Across all Trend monitored news outlets · 5 articles

  • UK-EU Relations

    Trending · Society

    UK-EU Relations

    Prime Minister Andy Burnham met French President Emmanuel Macron at Downing Street on Thursday to discuss small boat crossings, defence and Ukraine. The pair praised UK-EU collaboration on shared challenges.

  • Data

    Small Boats

    People detected arriving in the United Kingdom in small boats across the English Channel each month, recorded by the Home Office since 2018. It is one route of irregular migration, not the whole of it, and it counts arrivals, not asylum claims or grants.

    2,31335.2%August 2026
    August 2021August 2026

    See this and every other society figure Trend holds on the Society board.

  • Left

    Summary

    The Daily Mirror reported on French beach deployments ahead of the PM and Macron meeting, citing concerns over mega dinghies after summer arrivals and reference to six-year low crossing numbers.

    Sentiment

    Across left-leaning outlets · 1 article

  • Centre

    Summary

    BBC News covered Burnham's talks with Macron at Downing Street, detailing discussions on small boat crossings, defence and Ukraine, and quoted Burnham praising UK-EU ties.

    Sentiment

    Across centre outlets · 2 articles

  • Right

    Summary

    The Evening Standard and Belfast Telegraph carried coverage of Burnham and Macron's meeting at No 10, including details of police deployments against mega dinghies and their visit to the British Museum with the King beforehand.

    Sentiment

    Across right-leaning outlets · 2 articles

The data behind

UK-EU Relations

Small Boats

People detected arriving in the United Kingdom in small boats across the English Channel each month, recorded by the Home Office since 2018. It is one route of irregular migration, not the whole of it, and it counts arrivals, not asylum claims or grants. The count is sensitive to weather, enforcement and conditions in the countries people leave.

-2k0k2k4k6k8k10kpeople20182020202220242026
ConservativeLabourCoalition

Source: Home Office

Coverage: UK

  • Mortgage Rates

    Trending · Housing

    Mortgage Rates

    5 articles across 5 outlets · news sources analysed by AI, figures counted from the coverage

    Sentiment

    Across all Trend monitored news outlets · 5 articles

  • Mortgage Rates

    Trending · Housing

    Mortgage Rates

    UK mortgage rates are expected to rise after swap rates climbed to three-year highs. The Coventry Building Society and Co-Operative Bank have already announced increases.

  • Data

    Mortgage Approvals

    The number of mortgages banks approve each month for house purchases. Because it captures intention to buy rather than completed sales, it leads the wider market by around three months.

    56,05314.9%2026-07-31
    2021-07-312026-07-31

    See this and every other housing figure Trend holds on the Housing board.

  • Left

    Summary

    The Guardian and Daily Mirror reported on mortgage rate rises driven by higher inflation and global bond market turmoil. Both covered swap rates reaching three-year highs and lenders announcing rate increases, with the Mirror noting the Coventry Building Society's plans to raise fixed-rate costs.

    Sentiment

    Across left-leaning outlets · 2 articles

  • Centre

    Summary

    The i covered mortgage rate rises expected in coming days as experts warned borrowers to lock in deals quickly. The outlet detailed how higher inflation projections and geopolitical tensions had worsened Bank of England rate forecasts, and reported that swap rates were climbing with some banks already announcing increases.

    Sentiment

    Across centre outlets · 1 article

  • Right

    Summary

    The Daily Mail and Evening Standard reported on mortgage rate rises linked to 30-year gilt yields hitting 28-year highs. The Evening Standard also quoted Lord O'Neill warning of an escalating debt repayment problem for public finances.

    Sentiment

    Across right-leaning outlets · 2 articles

The data behind

Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Approvals

The number of mortgages banks approve each month for house purchases. Because it captures intention to buy rather than completed sales, it leads the wider market by around three months. When approvals rise, demand is building and prices tend to firm; when they fall sharply, buying is drying up and prices usually soften in the months after.

0k50k100k150k1995200020052010201520202025
ConservativeLabourCoalition

Source: ONS · Bank of England

Coverage: UK

  • Prison Early Release

    Trending · Justice

    Prison Early Release

    5 articles across 3 outlets · news sources analysed by AI, figures counted from the coverage

    Sentiment

    Across all Trend monitored news outlets · 5 articles

  • Prison Early Release

    Trending · Justice

    Prison Early Release

    The government is releasing more than 2,500 prisoners early under a new scheme. Police leaders have warned the move could increase violent crime, citing cases where suspects charged with gun and knife crimes were freed before trial.

  • Data

    Prison Population

    The number of people held in prison across England and Wales, counted every week. It includes sentenced prisoners, people on remand (held in custody before trial or sentencing) and immigration detainees, and is best read against usable operational capacity, how many a prison can safely hold.

    86,8430.1%24 Aug 2026
    06 Jan 202324 Aug 2026

    See this and every other justice figure Trend holds on the Justice board.

  • Centre

    Summary

    BBC News reported that about 700 prisoners will be freed on 1 October under revised early release plans, noting the government kept to its promised schedule for offender releases.

    Sentiment

    Across centre outlets · 1 article

  • Right

    Summary

    Daily Mail coverage led with police warnings that violent crime will rise, citing Met Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley's concerns about suspects charged with gun and knife crimes being released before trial. The outlet also detailed that child rapists could qualify for early release, reported that over 2,500 prisoners will be freed before Christmas including violent offenders and domestic abusers, and carried a story about a prison guard freed six months into her sentence. Daily Star ran the guard's story separately.

    Sentiment

    Across right-leaning outlets · 4 articles

The data behind

Prison Early Release

Prison Population

The number of people held in prison across England and Wales, counted every week. It includes sentenced prisoners, people on remand (held in custody before trial or sentencing) and immigration detainees, and is best read against usable operational capacity, how many a prison can safely hold. When it rises, the system runs short of room; when it falls, headroom returns.

82k84k86k88k90k202420252026
ConservativeLabourCoalition

Source: Ministry of Justice / HMPPS · Prison Population Statistics

Coverage: England & Wales